when did 14 days to flatten the curve start when did 14 days to flatten the curve start

Birx, who left the CDC last week and took a couple of private sector positions, said the discussion around early Covid policy was not so simple as science vs. politics. State and local officials quickly ordered citizens to stay at home, and we were assured this was a short-term, temporary situation to ensure capacity in our hospitals.The president even reassured the public that these wouldn't be long-term mandates saying, "We cannot let the cure be worse than the problem itself. Should we not be shaking hands? This was what was really keeping me up at night, to unfortunately see Italy approaching that point, Vespignani said, adding that now that the country has effectively followed Chinas example and put its population on lockdown, hopefully this will work.. Ethics of Digital Contact Tracing: Principles. Flatten the curve was still used as a slogan, but its meaning had changed. But as for the non-vaccinated, I really want to piss them off. The story behind the coronavirus 'flatten the curve' chart - Fast In the future, she added, social-distancing recommendations might be less aggressive than they are now but they're unlikely to go away for at least a year. States that appear in shades of green have seen declines in cases over the same period of time. In the 20 states that have seen the most cases, theres a consistent pattern: Days in which a higher percentage of ICU beds held patients being treated for covid-19 were days in which ICUs were closer to capacity. This meme trend came few days ago and is now flooded over social media. (i.e. Despite experts, world wide, weighing in on the harms of school closures and masking children, bureaucrats across the country are beating that dead horse. We call you to take part in the Collective Meditation. communications, covid-19, health, Feedback or questions? The curve of the Philippines as of Sept. 9, 2020 looks like this: After the lockdown was initiated, the curve remained relatively flat until the end of May, after which it started to increase exponentially. CHANG: Well, to explain exactly what it means to flatten the curve of infectious diseases, we're joined now by Dr. Drew Harris. Chan School of Public Health have looked at what U.S. hospitals might endure if Wuhan-scale spread occurred in this country. Vaccines were, in a way, the inheritor of the sentiment behind flatten the curve. The idea there was that people could take steps (staying at home more, social distancing) that would help the community broadly (by not overwhelming hospitals). I think people are not yet fully understanding the scale of this outbreak and how dangerous it is to downplay, he said. For some, the only control they are able to find during these uncertain times is through clinging to a false sense of safety and trusting the guidance of established authorities as gospel. Dot corresponds to most recent day. Are you a health care worker affected by the coronavirus outbreak? She added that early on, officials should have acted more swiftly when cases were detected to prevent spread through the closure of businesses. Indeed, this mass suffering has already begun in many parts of the world. And so the more that we can minimize it, the better.. But eight days after the plan came out, the US continues to witness dramatic daily spikes in coronavirus cases. Helen Branswell covers issues broadly related to infectious diseases, including outbreaks, preparedness, research, and vaccine development. We also want to express great appreciation to the American people. Mina agreed: Without a very clear signal coming from our government at the national level, its really just like a small trickle as people start to recognize that this is happening.. Already by early March, some WHO officials had come out in favor of the Chinese approach of draconian lockdowns imposed by the Chinese police state and surveillance state. Hospitals in New York, Chicago, Seattle, and Washington, DC have also reported a shortage of face masks, which could potentially lead more healthcare workers to get exposed the virus. Without weighing economic and civil liberty concerns, the decisions made often result in unrealistic policies that will not have the buy-in necessary from the population at large to be effective. If youre vaccinated and boosted, you are highly protected. This could last eighteen months, or two years, or more. Europe have experienced similar before, it is a royal, tough and limiting inconvenience but it is temporary. "In retrospect, I do think in February there were a significant number of undetected infections taking place, and we were scrambling to try and identify them.". NSW Chief Health Officer Kerry Chant says it will take seven to 14 days to know if the "flatten the curve" measures are working. I ts been quite a year since experts told us that they needed only 15 days to flatten the economy, er, I mean flatten the curve. The idea is that gradually al large part of the population has to become immune (app. One was the degree of asymptomatic transmission, and two was the aerosols, how this is not just transmitted through people sneezing and coughing.". The WHO now endorses the Swedish model, which isbased on increasing healthcare capacity while relying primarily on voluntary social distancing. As TFTP hasreported, we predicted this. Sign up for How To Read This Chart, a weekly data newsletter from Philip Bump. Fair Use Notice can be found in this link. Asnoted byStatnews, Mike Ryan, the head of the WHOs health emergencies program, embraced the Chinese containment strategy and denounced flatten-the-curve style mitigation strategies as counterproductive.. It made sense, particularly in those first few weeks when we didnt know how bad things would get. 14 Days to Flatten the Curve Meme. March 6, 2021 Geoffrey Pike 3 Comments. We hope you found something here that sparked your interest and assists you in your awakening journey. There is very little we can do to prevent this spread: a lockdown might delay severe cases for a while, but once restrictions are eased, cases will reappear. 10 out of 17 million people have to be infected. 2022 NewsWars Tied to a compelling, simple chart of infections over time with and without interventions, the message encouraged people to socially distance to delay and reduce the peak of infections, preventing hospitals from becoming overwhelmed. Youll experience severe illness in many cases.. While a vaccine and treatments are developed, strong actions must be taken. "At the end of the 15 day period, we will make a decision as to which way we want to go.". Hard questions sometimes need innovative and hard decisions. "We know that early and aggressive containment strategies are most effective in saving lives," Morrato said. OMG, theres thick black smoke rolling out of the eaves of the house, but theres no visible fire! WebThe first case of COVID-19 in Germany was reported 987 days ago on January 26, 2020. Many governors and mayors nonetheless continued to claim that they would not allow any easing of the lockdowns until cases began to decline, or until testing became widespread. While 74% of adults said they were aware of the chart, this awareness did not correlate with their intention to engage in social distancing or their belief in whether interventions could control the pandemic. The U.S. is nearly halfway through a 15-day plan to flatten the curve and reduce the incidence of coronavirus. CDC / The Economist / Drew Harris / Nan Li, Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, one message became ubiquitous: flatten the curve.. This is the real pandemic, but it goes on beneath the surface, and is probably at its peak now in many European countries. I Will Not Be Silenced! The two largest failings of the guidance were that it didn't acknowledge that people without symptoms can spread the virus and didn't say anything about wearing masks, formerBaltimore health commissioner Dr. Leana Wen said. - Joe Rogan. And on June 22, aHarvard University studyreiterated the fact that while this policy did not save lives it decimated the economy; while modern robber barons such as Zuckerberg, Gates, and Bezos saw their portfolios expand exponentially. Thestudy from the NBERfound that these restrictions not only failed to save lives, and greatly exacerbated the destruction of the working class but have in fact resulted in anincreaseof excess mortality. Rivers and colleagues from Harvards T.H. This suggests that the flatten-the-curve message might have armed them with the knowledge they needed to draw their own conclusions about social distancing measures without needing to rely as strongly on trusting experts. The virus is spreading, were are told, including widely throughout the vaccinated population, because of the unvaccinated who are now dirty non-citizens., On Tuesday, French President Macron gave an interview to the La Parisien, in which he dehumanized the unvaccinated and urged other citizens to hate them, likening them to their worst enemies., I am not about pissing off the French people, Macron told the readers of Le Parisien. This excerpt sums it up nicely: "Telling Americans to wear masks when theyre unnecessary undermines efforts to persuade more people to wear masks where they are vital Banning college students from outdoor walks wont make them stay inside their dorm rooms for weeks on end. Theres people inside, but for we dont want to over-react, so dont call the fire department until we see the fire! He added a dotted line representing the capacity of the health care system, further emphasizing this capacity-based goal. The next two weeks will be "absolutely critical" for containing the virus, Elaine Morrato, dean of the Parkinson School of Health Sciences and Public Health at Loyola University Chicago, told Business Insider. For others, it is an exercise in self-righteousness that allows for them to virtue signal indignation at anyone that does not take the pandemic as seriously as them. You are overlooking the fact pointed out by Michael Osterholm that when these infected and distanced people eventually get out and into the workplace, public spaces, public transportation, etc., they will contribute to another spate of contagion and resulting deaths. VP Pence: No higher priority than the health of the American people. Until then, only minimal essential activities will be allowed. The initiative should not have been tied to a timeline, she said, but instead to a specific task like reducing daily new infections to a certain level. Other public health specialists weren't so forgiving of the White House's early response to the pandemic. "This is where technology really begins to take us forward in leaps and bounds.". That is what the curve represents. The idea was to limit the daily rise of those in need of treatment to within the healthcare capacity. We installed plexiglass between ourselves and anyone else we met. "With several of weeks of focused action we can turn the tide and turn it quickly.". Clearly we can no longer rely on them to make decisions which benefit freedom and liberty. Though public-health officials view social distancing as a necessary measure to contain the outbreak, work-from-home and no-travel rules are already having a profound effect on the national economy. For donating, please view the following page by clicking here. So its the top priority right now that we bend the curve.. But it probably will increase the chances that they surreptitiously gather indoors Rules that are really more about showing that youre doing something versus doing something thats actually effective are counterproductive." Canadian PM Trudeau followed suit the following day and told the citizens of Canada that they need to be angry at the unvaccinated for spreading covid, using his pulpit to dehumanize and threaten people for their personal medical choices. But the idea that everyone will sit at home until a vaccine is found has at the moment fallen out of favor except in the most dogmatically leftist areas. Biden then went on to encourage children to stay away from the unvaccinated, further stoking hatred, fear, and divide. The United States and other countries, experts say, are likely to be hit by tsunamis of Covid-19 cases in the coming weeks without aggressive public health responses. Hard-left activist Matthew Yglesias, for example,complainedthis week that flattening the curve isnt good enough.. This was yet another report, as TFTPs Don Via Jr. pointed out, that much like the aforementioned, didnotreceive national headlines from the corporate media. If results are virtually identical regardless of the level of the shutdown, wouldn't the most pragmatic solution be to mirror Florida and allow individuals to make their own decisions about what is best for the health and safety of their families? That is nothing if not intuitive, of course; someone sick with covid is necessarily going to increase the percentage of beds in use. Countries and regions that have been badly hit by the virus report hospitals that are utterly swamped by the influx of sick people struggling to breathe. The Energies of May 2023: Conscious Creation, The Federation of Light: Potential of Miracles, Conversations with Kuthumi: Dancing with Your Shadow, Archangel Zadkiel: The Power of the Present Moment, The Godfather of AI Says Doomsayers Are Wrong and ChatGPT Isnt Remarkable Mainly an Advanced Disinformation Tool, The Number Of Jailed Journalists Reaches Record High, 500 Australians Join Worlds First COVID Vaccine Injury Class Action Lawsuit, Argorians Update: Frequencies to Increase, The 9D Arcturian Council: Make All Your Problems Melt Away. The guidance failed to acknowledge that people who don't have symptoms can spread the virus and didn't say anything about wearing masks. I would suggest that people not underestimate how effective the chart was based on this finding alone, because the popularity of this chart itself is strong evidence of how important the message was and how critical it is for scientists to send the right message out about something like this, she says. When the pandemic began, no one knew anything. Mar 11, 2021 2 min read 14 DAYS TO FLATTEN THE CURVE Open Letter to Members of the Legislative Assembly March 11, 2021 FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Dear Mrs Branswell, pic.twitter.com/wHYFL5r1wj, Matt Agorist (@MattAgorist) December 26, 2021. Everyone will be exposed to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus, and most people will become infected. But public-health experts say these measures will be necessary for more than 15 days at minimum, they're needed for several more weeks. Nonetheless, one is still likely to encounter rabid COVID warriors on social media, who think that interminable lockdowns will (somehow) significantly reduce the overall total deaths from COVID-19. In many states, total deaths have plateauedbut show no sign of disappearing. It suggested late Tuesday afternoon that there had been 808 cases in the U.S. and 28 deaths. 60%). The WHO has failed in their lack of guts to make tough decisions, theyve been on the potty squaking about global Angst instead. On the efficacy of masks, Dr. Anthony Fauci has held positions ranging from "masks aren't necessary" to wearing two or three masks is "common sense. If 9 percent of people 60 and older needed to be hospitalized, having only 10,000 people in that age range get infected, vs. 1 million, meant 89,000 fewer people in the hospital. None of it made much difference against the virus, it turned out. What happened after that? For example, reducing 1,000 cases by half each day would mean a reduction of 500 cases on Day 1 and 125 cases on Day 3 but only 31 cases on Day 5. DailyStatus 1 year ago 0 1 mins. (Really, that happened.) "There were two key elements in our scientific knowledge that we didn't fully understand. Seattle is already in the thick of it. Last week, the number of coronavirus cases in the US jumped more than 40% in just 24 hours. Follow her on Mastodon and Post News. Ina new article posted atTheLanceton Tuesday, Swedish infectious disease clinician Johan Giesecke writes on how lockdowns dont really reduce overall total deaths, and says that when its all over, nonlockdown jurisdictions are likely to have similar death rates to lockdown areas: It has become clear that a hard lockdown does not protect old and frail people living in care homesa population the lockdown was designed to protect. Over the last two years, one of the largest power grabs in the history of the world has taken place as fearful citizens willingly surrendered their rights to the state for the promise of safety. "There were people with legitimate credentials and stellar careers that were feeding information, and I had never seen that before, and that was enormously difficult," Birx said Thursday at a virtual symposium hosted by the New York Academy of Sciences and NYU Grossman School of Medicine. In fact, top U.S. health officials were urging Americans not to buy masks at the end of February in a bid to preserve supply for health-care providers. ". Theres no better way to protect your family and your community than by arming yourself with accurate, up-to-date information. "Fifteen days of aggressive social distancing is necessary, but will not be sufficient," she said. #coronavirus #disruption #innovation. So, we must keep society locked down indefinitely until a vaccine is found or until there can be enough testing and tracking of infections among the entire population. Initially, we were told to wear gloves and be wary of surfaces, only to have the CDC months later backtrack and state the "virus does not spread easily from contaminated surfaces."